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Building Forecasting

Analysis and forecasts of your industry and your markets. Giving you strategically important information to guide decisions.
Forecasting Conferences
Now run for over 51 years, these briefings assist senior decision makers from both the private and public sectors with short to mid-term planning, strategy and budgeting. The unique feature of our business presentations is the industry-level forecasts for activity, investment and employment in addition to the overall economic outlook. The conferences are designed to give a clear understanding of the economic and building industry outlook over the next 18 months with insights into emerging issues that business will face over this time, resulting prospects and key actions required. Delegates will receive a Chart Book of the presentations shown during the conference, and key forecasts.
Cancellation Policy

If you are unable to attend, a substitute or replacement would be welcomed. It is regretted that no refunds can be made for cancellations received less than one week prior to the Conference. A 50% refund will be given for cancellations received in writing one week before the Conference. Full refunds will be made for cancellations received in writing at least two weeks prior.


Tuesday, 21 February 2017
Stamford Plaza, Albert Street, Auckland

Where is the New Zealand construction sector heading in the next 2-3 years?. 

BIS Shrapnel’s 14th annual New Zealand Building and Construction Forecasting Conference provides a forum for the presentation of our latest report Building and Construction in New Zealand 2017 – 2022

At the conference we will present a concise overview of major issues influencing building and construction activity, including data and forecasts across a range of sectors out several years. We will also present analysis of the macro economic environment and projections of the most likely scenario, including interest rates, inflation, government policy, demographic trends impacting underlying demand and consents for residential and non-residential building by type, as well as analysis of roads/highways, utilities, airports, water and sewerage, ports and harbours.

Forecasts and information provided at the conference will be comprehensive, and will assist in formulating key business planning strategies and actions.

Delegates will receive BIS Shrapnel’s latest forecasts, along with a summary of the assumptions and commentary.

BIS Shrapnel has over 51 years experience working with clients in Australia, New Zealand and Asia within the Building and Construction industry.

For Conference or Subscription enquiries, please contact Letitia Knight on: +612 8458 4292 or Click here for the registration form.

7:00 am             Registration
7:15 am             Light stand-up breakfast
7:45 am             presentation by Dr Kim Hawtrey & Questions
9:15 am             Conference concludes


  • Kim Hawtrey

Tuesday, 07 March 2017 to Tuesday, 21 March 2017
Brisbane Tuesday, 7 March 2017
Stamford Plaza Hotel
Thursday, 9 March 2017
Shangri-La Hotel
Wednesday, 15 March 2017
Park Hyatt Hotel
Thursday, 16 March 2017
InterContinental Hotel
Tuesday, 21 March 2017
Hyatt Regency Hotel

Transition to a strong post-mining boom economy is just beginning. It will be slow and difficult.

Don’t underestimate the magnitude of the forces shaping Australia’s future. 
– Mining investment still has further to fall (negative impact partly offset by strong production).
– ‘Transition’ involves structural change and substantial rebuilding of industry.

Other cycles and economic drivers are a mixed bag:

  • Residential cycles are running their course – building will fall.
  • Infrastructure spending is beginning a phase of growth after years of decline.
  • Businesses aren’t ready to invest yet. Low interest rates won’t help. Weak demand, weak profits and excess capacity will delay new investment until it makes sense for them to invest. That will take time.
  • It’s unlikely that Brexit, a Trump presidency or China will upset the applecart. Our primary problems are domestic.
  • Nor will the impending phase of slowly rising interest rates worldwide change our lives.

This phase of weakness will run its course before non-mining industries emerge from the ashes of the mining boom.
We face years of slow growth before non-mining business investment emerges as a primary growth driver.

We know the shape of recovery. Improved competitiveness from the lower dollar will boost dollar-exposed industries. They will be the first to invest, stimulating services and broadening through non-mining industries.

Structural change will drive growth, employment & population by industry and region. That has already begun.
The outcome, by industry & by region, will depend on our ability to rebuild non-mining industries.

Don’t expect some magical rebound in the economy. We’ll be in this slow growth limbo for years yet.

Our 106th bi-annual Business Forecasting Conferences will provide a clear picture of the economic and industry outlook. We examine economic conditions, emerging structural and cyclical shifts, policy issues, the logic of investment, regional and industry prospects, financial and business conditions and the issues businesses will face. These briefings held since 1964, assist decision makers to formulate business strategies and actions. Delegates receive a Chart Book and key forecasts. 

Get in touch


Level 8, 99 Walker Street
North Sydney NSW 2060

Phone: +61 2 8458 4200
Fax: +61 2 9959 5795


Level 40, Rialto South Tower
525 Collins Street
Melbourne VIC 3000

Phone: +61 3 8679 7300
Fax: +61 3 9614 0033

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