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Building Forecasting

Analysis and forecasts of your industry and your markets. Giving you strategically important information to guide decisions.
Forecasting Conferences
Now run for over 51 years, these half day briefings assist senior decision makers from both the private and public sectors with short to mid-term planning, strategy and budgeting. The unique feature of our economic presentations is the industry-level forecasts for activity, investment and employment in addition to the overall economic outlook. The conferences are designed to give a clear understanding of the economic and building industry outlook over the next 18 months with insights into emerging issues that business will face over this time, resulting prospects and key actions required. Delegates will receive a Chart Book of the presentations shown during the conference.
Cancellation Policy

If you are unable to attend, a substitute or replacement would be welcomed. It is regretted that no refunds can be made for cancellations received less than one week prior to the Conference. A 50% refund will be given for cancellations received in writing one week before the Conference. Full refunds will be made for cancellations received in writing at least two weeks prior.


Tuesday, 23 February 2016
Stamford Plaza, Albert Street, Auckland

Is the Auckland housing market overheated? Canterbury rebuild in the housing sector has peaked. Where is the New Zealand construction sector heading in the next 2-3 years?. 

BIS Shrapnel’s 13th annual New Zealand Building and Construction Forecasting Conference provides a forum for the presentation of our latest report Building and Construction in New Zealand 2016 – 2021

At the conference we will present a concise overview of major issues influencing building activity, including data and forecasts for building activity across a range of sectors out to 18 months. We will also present analysis of the economic environment and projections of the most likely scenario, including interest rates, inflation, government policy, demographic trends impacting underlying demand and approvals for residential and non-residential building by type, as well as analysis of roads/highways, utilities, airports, water and sewerage, ports and harbours.

Forecasts and information provided at the conference will be very insightful, of great value and will assist in formulating key business planning strategies and actions.

Delegates will receive a set of Conference Papers containing BIS Shrapnel’s latest 18 month forecasts, along with a summary of the analysis and commentary.

BIS Shrapnel has over 51 years experience working with clients in Australia, New Zealand and Asia within the Building and Construction industry.

For Conference or Subscription enquiries, please contact Adeline Wong, on: +612 8458 4207 or Click here for the registration form.

8:45 am               Registration
9:15 am               Opening of conference
10:45 am             Morning Tea Break
12:15 pm             Conference concludes


  • Robert Mellor
  • Kim Hawtrey

Tuesday, 13 September 2016 to Thursday, 22 September 2016
Brisbane Tuesday, 13 September 2016
Stamford Plaza Hotel
Wednesday, 14 September 2016
Four Seasons Hotel
Thursday, 15 September 2016
Park Hyatt Hotel
Tuesday, 20 September 2016
InterContinental Hotel
Thursday, 22 September 2016
Hyatt Regency Hotel

It will take time for non-mining sectors to emerge from the ashes of the mining boom. 
Mining investment bust only halfway through. Offset by production coming on stream.

Strengthening GDP growth but weak domestic demand. Without mining, the economy is weak. But the economic drivers are cyclical:

  • The lower dollar is critical for structural change.
  • The residential building cycle has run its course and will turn down next year.
  • Infrastructure spending is on the threshold of an upswing after years of decline,
  • Businesses not ready to invest yet. Demand and profits weak. Excess capacity delaying investment.
  • External influences from China, Brexit and overseas interest rates.
  • Uncertainties over Government decision making may impact businesses.

The seeds of recovery are in place. Improved competitiveness from the lower dollar will boost export & import-competing industries. After a decade suppressed by the high dollar, they will be the first industries to invest, stimulating services demand and broadening through non-mining industries. That will drive growth, employment and population in those regions.

Already, NSW and Victoria are the strongest growth states, with mining states weakening. 
The broadening to non-mining growth and investment and hence a stronger economy is still a long way off. 

The transition is structural and agonisingly slow. It could have been a lot worse.

Our 105th bi-annual Business Forecasting Conferences will provide a clear picture of the economic and industry outlook. We examine economic conditions, emerging structural and cyclical shifts, policy issues, the logic of investment, regional and industry prospects, financial and business conditions and issues businesses will face. These briefings held since 1964, assist decision makers to formulate business strategies and actions. Delegates receive a Chart Book and key forecasts.

Get in touch


Level 8, 99 Walker Street
North Sydney NSW 2060

Phone: +61 2 8458 4200
Fax: +61 2 9959 5795


Level 40, Rialto South Tower
525 Collins Street
Melbourne VIC 3000

Phone: +61 3 8679 7300
Fax: +61 3 9614 0033

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