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Building Forecasting

Analysis and forecasts of your industry and your markets. Giving you strategically important information to guide decisions.
About Building in Australia

Provides a respected and independent medium term assessment of the Australian building industry. Contains demographic trends and annual forecasts of the residential (housing, other dwellings) and non-residential (commercial, industrial, social and institutional) sectors, and the alterations and additions market, by state, ahead 5 years and beyond. The main report is delivered in July, followed by an update in December. Downloadable data in excel form are available, along with digital charts.

Building in Australia 2016 – 2031

Report Published: July 2016

Price:

Contact: Joy Xenita

+61 2 8458 4220

NEW 2017 EDITION FORECASTS TO BE PUBLISHED MID TO LATE MAY – ENQUIRE NOW TO ADVANCE ORDER

The Outlook…

Residential building activity is turning down from its record highs and banks are starting to put up interest rates. Just how deep will the shakeout be? Will detached houses offset the expected collapse in multi-residential dwellings? Will your state be hardest hit by the changes? Is population growth picking up enough to cushion the downturn? How many dwellings will be built a year from now? Five years from now?

Non-residential building will present fresh opportunities in 2017 and beyond, backed by a pipeline of projects and improving economic conditions, yet some sectors will benefit more than others. Should you focus on the commercial/industrial side of the market, or social/institutional? Which markets are undersupplied and set to experience solid expansion? And are public sector funding constraints finally lifting?

Building in Australia 2017 – 2032 report provides a respected and independent medium term assessment of the Australian building industry outlook. The report contains demographic trends and detailed forecasts of residential (housing, other dwellings), non-residential (commercial, industrial, social and institutional) and home renovation markets, by state.

Subscription service includes: Main Report (published mid-year) and Update Report (published December – online service only).

The report features

  • Annual forecasts of building activity to 2022, taking into account the building cycle, then two five-year average forecasts for the ten years to 2032, which will give an assessment of the long-term underlying demand for each building sector in light of long-term economic and demographic trends
  • Analysis of the economic environment and projections, including interest rates
  • Analysis of trends in demographic factors and their impact on the underlying demand for dwelling and non-dwelling building 
  • Forecasts of the value of building commencements by state, in current and constant prices, including total dwellings, alterations and additions to dwellings and non-dwelling building
  • Forecasts of dwelling approvals, commencements and completions for houses and other dwellings (flats, units and town houses) covering private and government sectors for each state
  • Forecasts of median house prices for each capital city
  • Forecasts of the value of non-dwelling building commencements in constant prices by state for each sector: offices, shops, hotels, factories, education, health, religion, entertainment, recreation and other
  • Online service (only) now includes separate data and forecasts split between medium density (1-3 storeys) and high density (4+ storeys)

Online Access:
In addition to the hard copy report, subscribers to the Building in Australia 2017 – 2032 online service receive access to download resources from our website, including chapters in PDF format, charts in MS Powerpoint and tables in MS Excel.
Online access may be shared with up to 4 other staff members for greater utilisation of the service.

For enquiries please contact Timothy Hibbert on +61 2 8458 4270 or thibbert@bisoxfordeconomics.com.au

 

UPDATE REPORT – DECEMBER 2016

Adobe PDF document files for download by subscribers.

UPDATE REPORT: BUILDING IN AUSTRALIA (pdf, 194 KB)

EXCEL DATA AND FORECASTS – DECEMBER 2016

Excel document files for download by subscribers.

BIA DATA - A&A QUARTERLY FORECASTS (CONSTANT PRICES).XLS (xls, 117 KB)

BIA DATA - DWELLING APPROVALS QUARTERLY FORECASTS.XLS (xls, 1.15 MB)

BIA DATA - DWELLING COMMENCEMENTS QUARTERLY FORECASTS.XLS (xls, 1.12 MB)

BIA DATA - DWELLING COMPLETIONS QUARTERLY FORECASTS.XLS (xls, 1.21 MB)

BIA DATA - NON-RESIDENTIAL FORECASTS (CONSTANT PRICES).XLS (xls, 1.35 MB)

BIA DATA - NON-RESIDENTIAL FORECASTS (CURRENT PRICES).XLS (xls, 1.17 MB)

BIA DATA - TOTAL VALUE OF BUILDING FORECASTS (CONSTANT PRICES).XLS (xls, 686 KB)

BIA DATA - TOTAL VALUE OF BUILDING FORECASTS (CURRENT PRICES).XLS (xls, 671 KB)

REPORT – JULY 2016

Adobe PDF document files for download by subscribers.

REPORT: BUILDING IN AUSTRALIA 2016 – 2031 (pdf, 5.05 MB)

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (pdf, 367 KB)

CH.1 - INTRODUCTION (pdf, 318 KB)

CH.2 - ECONOMIC DRIVERS OF BUILDING ACTIVITY (pdf, 687 KB)

CH.3 - DEMOGRAPHIC DRIVERS OF BUILDING ACTIVITY (pdf, 1.31 MB)

CH.4 - OUTLOOK FOR RESIDENTIAL BUILDING (pdf, 990 KB)

CH.5 - OUTLOOK FOR NON-RESIDENTIAL BUILDING (pdf, 1.40 MB)

CH.6 - BUILDING IN AUSTRALIA FORECASTS (pdf, 412 KB)

TABLES & CHARTS – JULY 2016

PowerPoint document files for download by subscribers.

BIA 2016 - REPORT CHARTS (ppt, 6.21 MB)

BIA 2016 - REPORT TABLES (xls, 992 KB)

BIA 2016 - NON-RESIDENTIAL PROJECT LISTING (xls, 41 KB)