Economics

Business Forecasting Conferences - Sept 08

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Brisbane - Tues 9 Sept
Sydney - Thurs 11 Sept
Melbourne - Tues 16 Sept
Adelaide - Thurs18 Sept
Perth - Fri 19 Sept

Economic Outlook

RBA to cut interest rates in attempt to pep up consumer confidence and stem the downturn in retail spending. Falling fuel and food prices, together with the latest income tax cuts will also help foster stronger growth by bolstering consumer spending power. But the intransigent nature of non-tradeables inflation, and the downward drift in the A$, will limit the RBA’s scope to cut interest rates while the infrastructure and mining booms continue to underpin strong national income growth.    

We have adjusted our interest and exchange forecasts in the latest bulletin.

Topics in August

  • Commodity prices and the A$
  • Inflation update


Topics in September

  • June quarter national accounts
  • Investment outlook
  • Interest rate outlook

 


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BIS Shrapnel's Economic Outlook service monitors developments in the Australian economy and prospects for businesses looking 18 months ahead.

BIS Shrapnel's Economic Outlook service has been running for over 40 years and is Australia's premium source of independent economic analysis and commentary. The service includes:

  • Monthly Bulletin

    Discusses the impact of major developments in the Australian economy on prospects for business sectors. We provide regular data, forecasts and discussion of:
    • growth in major sectors
    • production and investment
    • consumer demand
    • price and wage inflation
    • interest rates and exchange rates
    • margins and profits by sector.
  • Economic Briefing Conferences

    Two complimentary admissions to BIS Shrapnel's half-day conferences, held twice a year, in March and September. These detailed briefings, held in most capital cities, cover Australia's economic prospects, identify key issues and actions required, and provide a comprehensive set of forecasts for the next 18 months.
  • Subscriber Enquiry Service

    Suubscribers to Economic Outlook can also speak directly to our team of economists about specific forecasting issues affecting your business.
  • Online Service

    The online version of this service also gives subscribers instant access to bulletins, conference slides, latest statistics, financial data, forecasts, charts and additional press releases in a convenient electronic format (PDF, MS Excel and MS PowerPoint) through our website, www.bis.com.au
Price:


Contact:

Kellie Rassack

PH: +61 2 9959 5924


Monthly Bulletins

Adobe PDF document files for download by online subscribers.
Adobe PDF document files for download by online subscribers.
  • EO Bulletin August 2008 (pdf, 418kb)
  • EO Bulletin June / July 2008 (pdf, 453kb)
  • EO Bulletin May 2008 (pdf, 331kb)
  • EO Bulletin April 2008 (pdf, 384kb)
  • EO Bulletin March 2008 (pdf, 420kb)
  • EO Chartbook March 2008 (pdf, 899kb)
  • EO Bulletin February 2008 (pdf, 381kb)
  • EO Bulletin December 2007 / January 2008 (pdf, 1014kb)
  • EO Bulletin November 2007 (pdf, 605kb)
  • EO Bulletin October 2007 (pdf, 365kb)
  • EO Bulletin September 2007 (pdf, 397kb)
  • EO Chartbook September 2007 (pdf, 925kb)

Weekly Data and Charts

Microsoft Excel spreadsheets and PDF files for download by online subscribers.
Microsoft Excel spreadsheets and PDF files for download by online subscribers.
  • Interest Rates - Weekly (xls, 1767kb)
  • Exchange Rates - Weekly (xls, 2250kb)
  • Stock Markets - Weekly (xls, 1708kb)
  • Commodity Prices - Weekly (xls, 1277kb)
  • Weekly Charts - Financial Indicators (pdf, 1117kb)
  • Calendar of releases and events (pdf, 270kb)

Latest Data and Forecasts

Microsoft Excel spreadsheets and PDF documents for download by online subscribers.
Microsoft Excel spreadsheets and PDF documents for download by online subscribers.
  • State Indicators updated 20.08.08 (xls, 1055kb)
  • Costs & Prices updated 20.08.08 (xls, 590kb)
  • External Forecasts updated 20.08.08 (xls, 1226kb)
  • Financial Indicators updated 20.08.08 (xls, 1842kb)
  • Business Indicators updated 20.08.08 (xls, 848kb)
  • Economic Indicators updated 20.08.08 (xls, 1687kb)

Recent Articles

PDF document files for download by online subscribers.
PDF document files for download by online subscribers.
  • Aug '08 - Headline inflation nearing its peak, but pressures to persist (pdf, 111kb)
  • Aug '08 - Speculative demand affecting currencies and commodity prices (pdf, 127kb)
  • Aug '08 - Wages growth still toeing-the-line (pdf, 104kb)
  • June/July '08 - State of Play (pdf, 217kb)
  • MAY '08 - Australians Inflation Challenge (pdf, 99kb)
  • MAY '08 - Budget Wrap (pdf, 136kb)
  • APRIL '08 - Household income consumer spending & tax cuts (pdf, 151kb)
  • APRIL '08 - Outllook for the states (pdf, 158kb)
  • MARCH '08 - Interesting times (pdf, 69kb)
  • MARCH '08 - Investment cycle still has a flick in its tail (pdf, 77kb)
  • FEB '08 - Clouds gather overseas (pdf, 117kb)
  • FEB '08 - Financial Conditions (pdf, 185kb)
  • DEC '07 - Economic Policy - New Watch but Same Old Foe (pdf, 34kb)
  • DEC '07- The Year Ahead - Growth Revised Up (pdf, 56kb)
  • DEC '07 - The Year in Review - Growth Surprises on Upside (pdf, 66kb)
  • Nov '07- Underlying Inflation Draws Fire from the RBA (pdf, 111kb)
  • NOV '07 - Wage Growth - A Damp Squib... Again! (pdf, 104kb)
  • Oct '07 - US Economy, down but not out (pdf, 124kb)
  • Oct '07 - Residential Sector, Itching for a Comeback (pdf, 122kb)

Additional Material

Microsoft Powerpoint, Excel and Adobe PDF document files for download by online subscribers.
Microsoft Powerpoint, Excel and Adobe PDF document files for download by online subscribers.
  • Oil Price Model updated 25.08.08 (xls, 1515kb)
  • Economic Timeline Updated 20.03.07 (xls, 220kb)

Conference Centre

Microsoft Powerpoint, Excel and Adobe PDF document files for download by online subscribers.
Microsoft Powerpoint, Excel and Adobe PDF document files for download by online subscribers.
  • EO Bulletin March 2008 (pdf, 420kb)
  • EO - March 08 p22 (pdf, 21kb)
  • EO Chartbook March 2008 (pdf, 899kb)
  • EO Conference Slides March 2008 - Part 1 (ppt, 2725kb)
  • EO Conference Slides March 2008 - Part 2 (ppt, 4967kb)