Related Files
- Brochure: Economic Forecasting Subscription Services 2010 (pdf, 145kb)
- EO Data & Forecasts Table of Contents (xls, 228kb)
Related Reports
Economic Outlook
The headwinds from the global financial crisis (GFC) early last year have now passed, with the damage not nearly as bad as most feared. The initial demand shock and the subsequent credit squeeze/collapse in confidence/fear of unemployment/precautionary saving logic led most commentators to predict a major recession for Australia. But that did not materialise. Australia escaped relatively unscathed from the GFC with only a moderate downturn. The world economy is now in a recovery phase. Growth in advanced economies is supported by policy stimulus but is expected to be sluggish this year. Emerging market economies will experience a fast paced recovery due to buoyant internal demand. In Australia, the upswing is well underway. Australia’s GDP growth for 2009/10 is forecast to grow in year-on-year terms by 2.7 per cent. The key drivers of growth over this financial year include the fiscal stimulus package, very strong economic growth in China and other parts of Asia (boosting Australia’s commodity exports and prices), some major private infrastructure, coal, oil and gas projects and low interest rates. For 2010/11, GDP growth is forecast at 3 per cent, with housing to be the key driver of growth.
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Read More BIS Shrapnel's Economic Outlook service monitors developments in the Australian economy and prospects for businesses looking 18 months ahead. BIS Shrapnel's Economic Outlook service has been running for over 40 years and is Australia's premium source of independent economic analysis and commentary. The service includes:
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Monthly Bulletins
- EO Bulletin February 2010 (pdf, 458kb)
- EO Bulletin December 2009/January 2010 (pdf, 418kb)
- EO Bulletin November 2009 (pdf, 400kb)
- EO Bulletin October 2009 (pdf, 393kb)
- EO Bulletin September 2009 (pdf, 397kb)
- EO Chartbook September 2009 (pdf, 756kb)
- EO Bulletin August 2009 (pdf, 466kb)
- EO Bulletin June/July 2009 (pdf, 492kb)
- EO Bulletin May 2009 (pdf, 407kb)
- EO Bulletin April 2009 (pdf, 475kb)
- EO Bulletin March 2009 (pdf, 445kb)
- EO Chartbook March 2009 (pdf, 682kb)
Weekly Data and Charts
- Exchange Rates - Weekly (xls, 2442kb)
- Interest Rates - Weekly (xls, 3993kb)
- Stock Markets - Weekly (xls, 5727kb)
- Commodity Prices - Weekly (xls, 1654kb)
- Weekly Charts - Financial Indicators (pdf, 1130kb)
- Calendar of releases and events (pdf, 294kb)
Latest Data and Forecasts
- State Indicators updated 18.02.2010 (xls, 1099kb)
- Costs & Prices updated 18.02.2010 (xls, 607kb)
- External Forecasts updated 18.02.2010 (xls, 1273kb)
- Financial Indicators updated 18.02.2010 (xls, 1859kb)
- Business Indicators updated 18.02.2010 (xls, 874kb)
- Economic Indicators updated 18.02.2010 (xls, 1775kb)
Recent Articles
- FEB 2010 - Headline inflation higher but interest rate rises will be measured (pdf, 134kb)
- FEB 2010 - International Conditions (pdf, 136kb)
- DEC 09/JAN 2010 - What happened to the investment downturn? (pdf, 29kb)
- DEC 09/JAN 2010 - The outlook for commodity prices and demand (pdf, 115kb)
- NOV '09 - Financial conditions (pdf, 62kb)
- NOV '09 - How much upside is there to investment? (pdf, 83kb)
- Oct '09 - Overview (pdf, 30kb)
- Oct '09 - State of Play (pdf, 94kb)
- Sept '09 - Stock cycle to influence growth going forward (pdf, 34kb)
- Sept '09 - Confidence and investment – cause for optimism? (pdf, 44kb)
- Sept '09 - State of play (pdf, 61kb)
- Aug '09 - Household disposable incomes to decline, jobless recovery (pdf, 44kb)
- Aug '09 - Housing recovery gains momentum (pdf, 41kb)
- June/July '09 - All states affected by the downturn, but mixed outlook (pdf, 111kb)
- June/July '09 - State of play (pdf, 92kb)
- MAY '09 - Budget (pdf, 938kb)
- MAY '09 - Inflation (pdf, 43kb)
- MAY '09 - Retail industry snapshot (pdf, 666kb)
- APRIL '09 - International conditions – signs for optimism in US and China? (pdf, 33kb)
- APRIL '09 - Unemployment catches up with demand (pdf, 34kb)
- APRIL '09 - How bad will it get? (pdf, 18kb)
- MARCH '09 - Economy bowed, but not beaten, by mounting headwinds (pdf, 37kb)
- MARCH '09 - International conditions (pdf, 68kb)
- OCT '08 - Australia in good position to weather global shock (pdf, 156kb)
